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sunsetted

TMB

TMB was a prediction markets platform built at Covalent where users took conviction-weighted positions on real-world outcomes; it shipped to production at tmb.fun and has since been sunsetted.

production
shipped to
end-to-end
market flows
tmb.fun
role
prediction market flows, backend, market mechanics
status
sunsetted
built at
Covalent

the call

A prediction market is only as good as its settlement story: positions have to be priced continuously while the outcome is still unknown, then resolved once and irreversibly. The work was the market mechanics and the backend that had to stay correct through both phases at Covalent scale.

what I owned

  • Prediction market flows end to end
  • Backend and market mechanics
  • Production infrastructure

what shipped

  • End-to-end prediction market implementation
  • Real-time market dynamics and conviction-based UX
  • Production infra at Covalent scale
TMB interface

stack

  • prediction
  • web3
  • react
  • node